The new Crimeantatar state exists. According to my calculations, it is ten years old. It is hardly noticeable to bystanders. No one calls it a state, but if you look closely at the details, it has all the characteristics of a strange, and perhaps a new type of state.
After the 1944 deportation, the main political idea was autonomy, the cry for which stuffed up everyone who waited for its restoration by Gorbachev, Kravchuk, Kuchma, Yushchenko, Poroshenko, and Zelensky. Some even expected its restoration from Putin.
During 80 years of struggle, the Crimean Tatars got a couple of pages of law for themselves as an indigenous people. One of the Ukrainian intellectuals allowed our people to create several national districts in Crimea sometime in the future. On a par with the endangered peoples of Siberia. But this is not certain. Nor does it matter. Because from the height of daily sermons, not everyone can see the new Crimeantatar state.
The Crimeantatar state has most of the important features that allow me to call what I will describe below with this word. It is extraterritorial and has sprawled over the past three years from Dublin to Dubai, but its core is undeniably in Crimea. What distinguishes the new Crimeantatar state from others is a single but important detail: it has no apparatus of violence.
The Crimeantatar state has a female president, and all the Crimean Tatars know her name well. The older generation remembers her as a fiery journalist on Crimean and Ukrainian TV channels 20-30 years ago. Now she is almost invisible. She rarely appears in public, but the people in Crimea occasionally hear her voice. The president's rare words keep Crimean Tatars from both shameful steps that could lead to reputational losses in the future and dangerous and reckless actions that could cause a new catastrophe in the present. Some - on the peninsula - accuse her of hidden disloyalty. Others - on the mainland - accuse her of suppressing the people's passionarity.
The Crimeantatar president does not abandon her people, she’s living with them a protracted era of a nightmare without a foreseeable finale. Except for the Muftiyat network and its affiliated scoundrels, the majority of Crimean Tatars live in the state of a hostage with Makarovs to their temples, knives to their throats, and Kalashnikovs to their backs. And in these conditions, the people are moving forward no matter what, and their president can inspire them to breathe. To breathe and to live.
The Crimeantatar state has a prime minister. And it is also a woman. She draws up the state budget and is probably the most liberal head of government in political history. Where else for 10 years the prime minister does not allow the budget deficit of the whole state, charging for public needs only what the people are willing to give voluntarily. The long-term success of her budgets confirms that an ideal state is possible without tax police, economic security bureaus, financial controls, prosecutors, and investigators.
The Crimeantatar state does not have a permanent parliament but lives by the principle of direct democracy. Referendums are formalized as holidays and festivals, book fairs and charity events, concerts and business exhibitions. And participation in them is the expression of will.
Dozens of institutions have appeared in this state, which live without orders from the prime minister and president and independently move national business, create volunteer movements, gather the scientific circle, and attract parents and children to educational centers in the Crimeantatar language, gently signaling their involvement in a single ecosystem.
The Crimeantatar state has an unusual form of Supreme Court, Special Service and Intelligence. This trio does not publicly condemn anyone. But some of its verdicts are announced in Merkez. The court consists of three scholars who investigate the mood of the Crimeantatar people and its certain groups. The Supreme Court, the Intelligence Service, and the Special Service observe the emerging phenomena and assess trends within the people, notice changes at early stages, and most importantly - easily identify manipulators: some carefully infiltrate the body of the new Crimeantatar state and try to lead it (mentally) across the Kerch bridge in the direction of those communities that are blooming on the opposite bank of the Kerch Strait.
You'll laugh, but this judicial trio also consists exclusively of women. I'm sure the initiated guessed this tune from the first note.
There is real opposition in the Crimeantatar state. It is lively, mischievous, and gathers many young people around it. It is also led by a woman whose husband is my university classmate. Check it out, the relationship between the Crimeantatar state and its opposition differs little from similar ones in free societies.
The Crimeantatar state has managed to create one of the main institutions of modern society: the media, which develops under conditions not even of censorship but of total dictatorship. It produces almost the entire range of content for the people: historical films, documentaries, serials, children's programs, satire, and modern shows. There is a lack of outspoken politics (simply impossible) and cartoons (still very expensive).
The Crimeantatar state has created a system of social support. Of course, it cannot help everyone, but it is thanks to it that the care for the seriously ill dissident of the Soviet period Aysha Seitmuratova was organized, thanks to it it is possible to raise money in a few hours for a mother with three children, left without a roof over their heads because of a fire.
Our new Crimeantatar state has for years helped children who were left without fathers for obvious reasons, and it also publicly separated honest volunteers from interest-bearing businessmen, cleansing this sphere without any criminal prosecutions - just by publicity among the people.
If you take a closer look at this state, its structures, and independent institutions, you may become curious about how it all interacts and how this is even possible in the current Crimea. It can no longer be eliminated by repressive actions without prohibiting the physical existence of Crimean Tatars. No, it is not horizontal, but it is not completely dependent on the vertical either.
I do not fully realize what mechanisms trigger the process of the birth of the state in this form. The new Crimeantatar state contradicts the conclusions of the brilliant mathematician John Nash because it lacks rationality, where the optimal equilibrium in non-repeating games is achieved by mutual betrayal of the players. Today's world around us is the best proof of the Nobel laureate's rightness.
The new Crimeantatar state hardly fits into the concept of his disciple, another Nobel laureate Robert Aumann. He theoretically proved that in repeated games other equilibria are reached based on the information of all previous steps of the players. Therefore, according to Aumann, the best strategy is “an eye for an eye” that educates rational traitors.
There is probably no mathematical apparatus to describe the Crimeantatar state that emerged 10 years ago (without realizing it itself). There are three constants in its formula that everyone knows, but no one can measure them accurately: the realization of existential danger, faith, and mutual trust of the members of its society. Undoubtedly, the Crimeantatar state has its own insects, rodents, and reptiles. Having no constitution, it lives by the principle of moral and intellectual racism.
After this idealistic picture, it is worth adding realism and gray colors. The new Crimeantatar state is unable to protect either itself, or its citizens, or its president and prime minister. It is neither a secret society nor a closed club with a hidden agenda. It is so transparent that even Iranian and Chinese intelligence services could not pick on it. It forms a unique type of society that has no enemies. Even when there are enemies. And with no friends, even if some people call themselves such.
So far, the Crimeantatar state is protected by the fact that the “Peace-loving Evil” that has seized Crimea, which of course notices this type of new state, at this point in time finds no reason to destroy it. All the mechanisms of its survival shouldn’t be revealed even in a text without names. “Peace-loving Evil” would love its disappearance, but no one in this world is omnipotent. On the opposite shore of the Black Sea, there is the “Evil Good”, which is carefully watching that the “Peace-loving Evil” does not think of reasons to organize a Chechen scenario of the 90s in Crimea.
The “Evil Good” from the opposite shore of the Black Sea is not able to change the status quo, but the degree of new nationalism of the majority of its 85 million people will no longer allow any of its leaders to even theoretically allow a new 1944 on the northern shore of the Black Sea. For now, this is enough for the new Crimeantatar state to live without the paralysis of fear, cautiously taking its next steps - while the former world's chief gendarme, who guaranteed Ukraine's integrity, has fallen into marasmus.
The marasmus of the era of Midwest exploration, organized by yesterday's nerds, who were “beaten by boys and rejected by girls”, now became billionaires and having read Yarvin Curtis's graphomania decided to build a new world “for the worthy”, where the place of Crimea, Greenland or Taiwan is decided by lock, stock, and barrels....
Happy first anniversary to you, my new Crimeantatar state without general elections but, inshAllah, with the common good.