The Luhansk region was completely taken over, according to a statement made by the Russian troops on Sunday, July 3. Lysychansk included. This information is untrue. Near the towns of Novokostiantynivka and Bilogorivka, fighting is now taking place.
I do not, however, rule out the possibility of the Luhansk region's entire territory being occupied. My opinion is that the Russians are getting ready to occupy the Donetsk region after taking the Luhansk region.
The Donetsk area's northern Bakhmut and Sloviansk regions are where fighting is most likely to intensify soon. The previous day, massive shelling hit Slovyansk.
During the summer, Russians will try everything they can to accomplish Putin's task of gaining access to the administrative borders of the Luhansk and Donetsk regions. And it is unlikely that they will be limited to the Luhansk region - as a stopgap measure to achieve the political goals of the so-called "special military operation."
Parallel to the occupation of Lysychansk, the enemy enters the Siversk region. The occupiers' current goal is to put more pressure on Ukraine's defense in the Donetsk region. The epicenter of military confrontation will move there.
If the occupiers manage to cross the administrative border of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, Russia will attempt to legitimize its presence there through falsified referendums.
After that, Russia may absorb the quasi-republics.
A Russian commission is currently operating in Luhansk. Preparations for the phony referendum may have already begun.
I do not rule out an increase in Russian missile attacks against the background of increased allied military and technical assistance to Ukraine (primarily the USA, and other NATO countries).
The Russian blockade of Ukrainian ports, primarily Odesa and Mykolaiv, will continue to create an artificial food crisis. The blackmailing of European countries through gas cuts will also continue, to provoke an energy crisis.